Who's betting on “Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 80% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.8K by 71 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 44 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 43% 27 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 59¢ and No at 41¢, a 59% implied chance of Yes. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 15, 2027.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 35 points. A week ago, Yes by 55 points.
Who holds it
71 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 71 of them. The largest Yes holder is FrozenParasite, with $697 on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is 0x49F206, with $186 on it, $41K lifetime loss over 862 markets (62% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $697 on Yes.
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $2.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 76%
- Snipers
- 1 · $697
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $657
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.1K on it
- 1FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$697+$244K lifetime
- 20x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-179244949675485% won of 13$581+$8.7K lifetime
- 3yurlppy85% won of 1,632 · grinder$235+$802 lifetime
- 4Maximus60075% won of 80$112−$49 lifetime
- 5haouibao98% won of 90$97−$196 lifetime
No$657 on it
- 10x49F20662% won of 862$186−$41K lifetime
- 2AiBird57% won of 1,279 · whale$111+$122K lifetime
- 3Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$107−$485K lifetime
- 4Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$91+$801K lifetime
- 5lissartter56% won of 2,997$43−$287K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in 2026 World GDP Growth
2 moreOther big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$959K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?"?
71 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 71 of them. The largest Yes holder is FrozenParasite, with $697 on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is 0x49F206, with $186 on it, $41K lifetime loss over 862 markets (62% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 59¢ and No at 41¢, a 59% implied chance of Yes. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 15, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 35 points. A week ago, Yes by 55 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 15, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.