Who's betting on “Will Veneziano win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.7K by 78 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 81% 46 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 82% 32 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 74¢ and No at 26¢, a 74% implied chance of Yes. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 5, 2026.
The smart money
81% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 5 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
78 wallets hold a position worth $6.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is Seeking-Alpha01, with $2.4K on it, $4.6K lifetime profit over 318 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is Rpzcz, with $423 on it, $13K lifetime loss over 75 markets (60% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $292 on Yes.
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $5.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 1 · $292
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.5K on it
- 1Seeking-Alpha0165% won of 318 · balanced$2.4K+$4.6K lifetime
- 2balthazar53% won of 52,570 · whale$488+$1.2M lifetime
- 3burityps58% won of 36 · balanced$451+$19K lifetime
- 40x4025c911Cf213D04ff2d409BAEe57D1b270c3644-178105367772948% won of 161$404−$251 lifetime
- 5GroovyCr0c0dil351% won of 405 · balanced$387+$1.5K lifetime
No$1.1K on it
- 1Rpzcz60% won of 75$423−$13K lifetime
- 2lava-lava47% won of 1,655 · whale$416+$1.2M lifetime
- 3rocky4201552% won of 1,056$125−$15K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$54+$255K lifetime
- 50xaccc…ef3ano record yet$20−$99 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Veneziano win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?"?
78 wallets hold a position worth $6.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is Seeking-Alpha01, with $2.4K on it, $4.6K lifetime profit over 318 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is Rpzcz, with $423 on it, $13K lifetime loss over 75 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Veneziano win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 74¢ and No at 26¢, a 74% implied chance of Yes. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 5, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 5 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 5, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.