Who's betting on “Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 76% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 16 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $55K traded all time
- Held now
- $16K by 219 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 76% 116 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 60% 101 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 64¢ and No at 37¢, a 64% implied chance of Yes. $55K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
The smart money
76% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
219 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 217 of them. The largest Yes holder is MaxVision, with $3.0K on it, $9.9K lifetime profit over 203 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is Gaditima, with $1.8K on it, $433K lifetime loss over 12,107 markets (49% won).
- Holders
- 118
- Money on it
- $10K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 101
- Money on it
- $5.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$10K on it
- 1MaxVision42% won of 203 · noise$3.0K+$9.9K lifetime
- 20x764Ff07D1EFD24Ba003F8E51B27C8cad518A4e99-176053788332776% won of 201 · balanced$885+$9 lifetime
- 3SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$882+$203K lifetime
- 4AngryRhino78% won of 227 · whale$706+$25K lifetime
- 5trx167% won of 578$670−$5.9K lifetime
No$5.4K on it
- 1Gaditima49% won of 12,107$1.8K−$433K lifetime
- 2cosmicsteaks47% won of 4,324 · whale$1.0K+$8.2K lifetime
- 3KTKK74% won of 202 · whale$730+$5.4K lifetime
- 4Iamngmi56% won of 200 · balanced$329+$1.6K lifetime
- 5perfectnostalgia52% won of 932 · whale$287+$153K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$950K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?"?
219 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 217 of them. The largest Yes holder is MaxVision, with $3.0K on it, $9.9K lifetime profit over 203 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is Gaditima, with $1.8K on it, $433K lifetime loss over 12,107 markets (49% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 64¢ and No at 37¢, a 64% implied chance of Yes. $55K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.