Who's betting on “Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 26 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $69 by 61 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 83% 50 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 57% 11 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 29, 2027.
The smart money
83% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 26 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
Who holds it
61 wallets hold a position worth $69 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 61 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $1 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,324 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is wokerjoesleeper, with $26 on it, $605K lifetime profit over 1,109 markets (91% won).
- Holders
- 50
- Money on it
- $8
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $61
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$8 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,324 · noise$1+$254K lifetime
- 2Crypto-Well78% won of 386 · whale$1+$5.4K lifetime
- 3ng600080% won of 972 · whale$1+$41K lifetime
- 40xB16B00B582% won of 342 · whale$1+$51K lifetime
- 525oodksmsss0979% won of 254 · whale$0+$1.5K lifetime
No$61 on it
- 1wokerjoesleeper91% won of 1,109 · whale$26+$605K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,316$20−$53K lifetime
- 3oihoiho51% won of 202$4−$150 lifetime
- 4garbagecollect451% won of 6,670 · whale$3+$499 lifetime
- 515rob46% won of 252 · noise$2+$3.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in GDP growth in 2026
2 moreOther big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.8M vol.Yes 22%No 79%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.8M vol.Yes 77%No 24%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.0M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?"?
61 wallets hold a position worth $69 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 61 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $1 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,324 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is wokerjoesleeper, with $26 on it, $605K lifetime profit over 1,109 markets (91% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 29, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 26 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 29, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.