Who's betting on “Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 20 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $42K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.1K by 95 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 66% 57 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 86% 38 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 34¢ and No at 67¢, a 67% implied chance of No. $42K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
66% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 27 points.
Who holds it
95 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is V4grant, with $188 on it, $493 lifetime loss over 788 markets (37% won). The largest No holder is -BOB-, with $866 on it, $459 lifetime profit over 8 markets (100% won).
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $2.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 79%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.4K on it
- 1V4grant37% won of 788$188−$493 lifetime
- 2GaTTTo75% won of 8$166+$144 lifetime
- 3leCommissaire55% won of 453 · whale$136+$104K lifetime
- 4eratoxtenex52% won of 406 · balanced$101+$1.6K lifetime
- 5vivaeuropa85% won of 132$72−$156 lifetime
No$2.7K on it
- 1-BOB-100% won of 8$866+$459 lifetime
- 2NiceDuckBro70% won of 240 · whale$823+$11K lifetime
- 3Dafri22028686% won of 35 · balanced$222+$747 lifetime
- 4KrdRL84% won of 110 · balanced$194+$1.2K lifetime
- 5HardZix35% won of 203$67−$2.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?"?
95 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is V4grant, with $188 on it, $493 lifetime loss over 788 markets (37% won). The largest No holder is -BOB-, with $866 on it, $459 lifetime profit over 8 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 34¢ and No at 67¢, a 67% implied chance of No. $42K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 27 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.