Who's betting on “Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%?”?
Smart money leans No: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $207 by 51 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 59% 39 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 90% 12 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 12, 2027.
The smart money
59% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 28 points.
Who holds it
51 wallets hold a position worth $207 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is planktonXD, with $2 on it, $132K lifetime profit over 6,321 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is 0xc24f…220b, with $87 on it, $436 lifetime profit over 361 markets (52% won).
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $10
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $196
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$10 on it
- 1planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$2+$132K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$1+$255K lifetime
- 3Oklmntrader13% won of 577$1−$173K lifetime
- 4RewardsMafia70% won of 214$1−$82K lifetime
- 5xiaoaojiang92% won of 77$1−$60 lifetime
No$196 on it
- 10xc24f…220b52% won of 361 · balanced$87+$436 lifetime
- 2Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,134 · whale$80+$570 lifetime
- 3marcelobravo64% won of 160 · balanced$10+$207 lifetime
- 4t57vk6tx8rwb56% won of 280$9−$12K lifetime
- 5Openty383% won of 47$5−$34 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3 more- 1-2%$45K vol.Yes 89%No 11%Smart money: No
- 0-1%$28K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: Yes
- <0$13K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$950K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%?"?
51 wallets hold a position worth $207 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is planktonXD, with $2 on it, $132K lifetime profit over 6,321 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is 0xc24f…220b, with $87 on it, $436 lifetime profit over 361 markets (52% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 12, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
59% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 28 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on February 12, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.