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Who's betting on “Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?”?

Politics$23K traded39 holdersEnds February 7, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
63%Yes
38%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$23K
traded all time
Held now
$4.2K
by 39 wallets
Smart share · Yes
72%
18 scored holders
Smart share · No
90%
21 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 63¢ and No at 38¢, a 63% implied chance of Yes. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 7, 2027.

The smart money

72% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.

Who holds it

39 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $1.8K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,242 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is RememberAmalek, with $827 on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won).

Yes63%
Smart money share72%
7 days ago 80%a day ago 72%now 72%
Holders
18
Money on it
$2.8K
Holders' win rate
52%
No38%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share90%
7 days ago 89%a day ago 90%now 90%
Holders
21
Money on it
$1.4K
Holders' win rate
64%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$2.8K on it

  1. 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,242 · whale$1.8K+$203K lifetime
  2. 2Over10no record yet$460+$0 lifetime
  3. 3chocolatepudding76% won of 510 · balanced$211+$18K lifetime
  4. 4SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$186−$9.0K lifetime
  5. 5Dapsy51% won of 919$94−$73K lifetime

No$1.4K on it

  1. 1RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$827+$819K lifetime
  2. 2extractive-manatee59% won of 1,590 · whale$196+$83K lifetime
  3. 3rocky4201452% won of 1,103 · whale$111+$6.2K lifetime
  4. 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$102+$254K lifetime
  5. 5lissartter56% won of 2,997$44−$287K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?"?

39 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $1.8K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,242 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is RememberAmalek, with $827 on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 63¢ and No at 38¢, a 63% implied chance of Yes. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 7, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

72% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on February 7, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.