Who's betting on “Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 73% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 10 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.7K by 132 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 63% 70 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 73% 61 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
63% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 29 points. A week ago, No by 33 points.
Who holds it
132 wallets hold a position worth $4.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 131 of them. The largest Yes holder is shiepapito, with $189 on it, $3.0K lifetime profit over 214 markets (85% won). The largest No holder is vinii, with $596 on it, $170K lifetime profit over 1,915 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 71
- Money on it
- $846
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 61
- Money on it
- $3.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$846 on it
- 1shiepapito85% won of 214 · whale$189+$3.0K lifetime
- 2OnlyInGodWeTrust44% won of 220 · noise$164+$461 lifetime
- 3petralha46% won of 224$89−$12K lifetime
- 40x76234fAA399ad8a753f8d33F5E28703eeEB46CB6-177322839175363% won of 190 · balanced$58+$1.3K lifetime
- 5Lannister.no record yet$43−$100 lifetime
No$3.9K on it
- 1vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$596+$170K lifetime
- 2Justitia72% won of 200$429−$11K lifetime
- 3Bulan43% won of 215 · noise$350+$14K lifetime
- 4garlictrump75% won of 218 · whale$328+$29K lifetime
- 52B9S27% won of 14,444 · noise$198+$97K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?"?
132 wallets hold a position worth $4.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 131 of them. The largest Yes holder is shiepapito, with $189 on it, $3.0K lifetime profit over 214 markets (85% won). The largest No holder is vinii, with $596 on it, $170K lifetime profit over 1,915 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
63% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 29 points. A week ago, No by 33 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.