Who's betting on “Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 85% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 10 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.0K by 54 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 85% 30 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 74% 24 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
85% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
54 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is melonmanm, with $29 on it, $56K lifetime profit over 986 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is zxdfbdfgngcxv, with $463 on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,234 markets (77% won).
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $128
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $1.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$128 on it
- 1melonmanm58% won of 986 · whale$29+$56K lifetime
- 2mombil62% won of 1,063 · whale$25+$502K lifetime
- 3TheMasterMind71% won of 267 · balanced$13+$4.3K lifetime
- 4Bondoo717% won of 36 · noise$8+$275 lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,324 · noise$8+$254K lifetime
No$1.8K on it
- 1zxdfbdfgngcxv77% won of 1,234 · whale$463+$83K lifetime
- 2TheWindKnowsmyName68% won of 497$297−$52K lifetime
- 3vino123459% won of 264 · whale$192+$29K lifetime
- 40x14117f3428c9Fc84b57cF7961b5e9E5F6Dce2410-177399462734967% won of 304 · balanced$187+$547 lifetime
- 5BerkshireHahaway95% won of 313 · whale$168+$3.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?"?
54 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is melonmanm, with $29 on it, $56K lifetime profit over 986 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is zxdfbdfgngcxv, with $463 on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,234 markets (77% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
85% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.