Who's betting on “Will Trump say "Nobel" this week?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 79% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 30 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $380 traded all time
- Held now
- $245 by 15 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 79% 10 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 49% 5 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 19, 2026. $380 has been traded on it.
The smart money
79% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago, Yes by 30 points.
Who holds it
15 wallets hold a position worth $245 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 15 of them.
- Holders
- 10
- Money on it
- $43
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
- Holders
- 5
- Money on it
- $202
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18)
10 more- Muscle / Muscular$1.7K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Swim / Swimming$1.5K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Dad / Daddy$1.1K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Mardi Gras$1.1K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Waitress$880 vol. · ClosedYes 62%No 38%Smart money: Yes
- Osama Bin Laden$764 vol. · ClosedYes 21%No 79%Smart money: Yes
- Handsome$707 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
- Third Term$432 vol. · ClosedYes 47%No 53%Smart money: Yes
- Pilot$364 vol. · ClosedYes 76%No 24%Smart money split
- Khomeini / Khamenei$259 vol. · ClosedYes 45%No 55%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump say "Nobel" this week?"?
15 wallets hold a position worth $245 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 15 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump say "Nobel" this week?"?
This market closed on October 19, 2026. $380 has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
79% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago, Yes by 30 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 19, 2026. $380 has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.