Who's betting on “Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $40K traded all time
- Held now
- $22K by 59 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 86% 38 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 85% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $40K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
86% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
59 wallets hold a position worth $22K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is Optimus-, with $373 on it, $121K lifetime profit over 330 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is tetrase, with $7.2K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $117 on Yes.
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Snipers
- 1 · $117
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $21K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.2K on it
- 1Optimus-55% won of 330 · whale$373+$121K lifetime
- 2Perypery30% won of 473 · noise$120+$44K lifetime
- 3ronaldk87% won of 239 · sniper$117+$42K lifetime
- 4azon784% won of 37 · balanced$102+$2.6K lifetime
- 5Sharathenriqueno record yet$88+$0 lifetime
No$21K on it
- 1tetrase65% won of 1,216 · whale$7.2K+$973K lifetime
- 2pkz63% won of 1,047 · whale$5.0K+$67K lifetime
- 3DegenerateJanet83% won of 672 · whale$3.6K+$27K lifetime
- 4Trashbag87% won of 127$2.8K−$2.6K lifetime
- 5kezgod79% won of 38 · balanced$968+$1.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?"?
59 wallets hold a position worth $22K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is Optimus-, with $373 on it, $121K lifetime profit over 330 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is tetrase, with $7.2K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $40K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.