Who's betting on “Will Trump nationalize elections?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 73% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $22K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.3K by 112 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 73% 34 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 42% 78 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
73% of the money on Yes and 42% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, Yes by 30 points.
Who holds it
112 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 112 of them. The largest Yes holder is herewe, with $111 on it, $1.0K lifetime profit over 68 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is 0x6c10…df5c, with $1.6K on it, $70K lifetime loss over 1,065 markets (66% won).
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $430
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 78
- Money on it
- $3.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$430 on it
No$3.9K on it
- 10x6c10…df5c66% won of 1,065$1.6K−$70K lifetime
- 2babyshark.59% won of 213$315−$663 lifetime
- 3Forfunzies69% won of 200 · balanced$302+$864 lifetime
- 4The-Joker64% won of 1,333 · whale$245+$145K lifetime
- 50xaF409E50577BD9cba48378656548A2D28D1a5662-177237781027386% won of 169 · balanced$202+$991 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump nationalize elections?"?
112 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 112 of them. The largest Yes holder is herewe, with $111 on it, $1.0K lifetime profit over 68 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is 0x6c10…df5c, with $1.6K on it, $70K lifetime loss over 1,065 markets (66% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump nationalize elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 42% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, Yes by 30 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.