Who's betting on “Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 53 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.7K by 57 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 39% 30 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 93% 27 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
The smart money
39% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 53 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 47 points. A week ago, No by 57 points.
Who holds it
57 wallets hold a position worth $4.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is Car, with $53 on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,784 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is DEGENKHAN, with $2.3K on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,147 markets (74% won).
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $246
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $4.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$246 on it
- 1Car58% won of 1,784 · whale$53+$1.5M lifetime
- 2basmati75% won of 28$51−$4.2K lifetime
- 3PaddyAlpha69% won of 402 · whale$34+$56K lifetime
- 4trickykid48% won of 166$26−$2.1K lifetime
- 5ChainArbiter100% won of 1$19−$58 lifetime
No$4.5K on it
- 1DEGENKHAN74% won of 1,147 · whale$2.3K+$104K lifetime
- 2AJK282% won of 217 · balanced$600+$560 lifetime
- 3tetrase65% won of 1,216 · whale$483+$973K lifetime
- 4Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,134 · whale$296+$570 lifetime
- 5PascalPro64% won of 85 · balanced$284+$2.7K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?"?
57 wallets hold a position worth $4.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is Car, with $53 on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,784 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is DEGENKHAN, with $2.3K on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,147 markets (74% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
39% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 53 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 47 points. A week ago, No by 57 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.