
Who's betting on “Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 21 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $114K traded all time
- Held now
- $41K by 355 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 88% 152 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 67% 203 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 78¢ and No at 23¢, a 78% implied chance of Yes. $114K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 20, 2029.
The smart money
88% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 21 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.
Who holds it
355 wallets hold a position worth $41K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 355 of them. The largest Yes holder is pede, with $12K on it, $840 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is PascalPro, with $1.5K on it, $2.7K lifetime profit over 85 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 152
- Money on it
- $32K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 203
- Money on it
- $9.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$32K on it
- 1pede100% won of 1$12K+$840 lifetime
- 2LlamaLoco000045% won of 299 · noise$9.5K+$325K lifetime
- 3cezarn13288% won of 200$1.7K−$16K lifetime
- 4crackenthusiast60% won of 204 · whale$1.1K+$13K lifetime
- 50xF80E74bC34e0C1BE6D4352D6eDEBB710E6602af8-172011916701364% won of 128 · balanced$720+$4.6K lifetime
No$9.2K on it
- 1PascalPro64% won of 85 · balanced$1.5K+$2.7K lifetime
- 20x714a14eCeb9E9be14C0cf6Fc4D3b61c0E5CD4a1B-177616250052560% won of 42 · balanced$936+$105 lifetime
- 3Gohst47% won of 1,056 · whale$798+$298K lifetime
- 4itachi0x80% won of 241$558−$794 lifetime
- 5ran73% won of 48 · balanced$495+$14K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?"?
355 wallets hold a position worth $41K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 355 of them. The largest Yes holder is pede, with $12K on it, $840 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is PascalPro, with $1.5K on it, $2.7K lifetime profit over 85 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 78¢ and No at 23¢, a 78% implied chance of Yes. $114K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 20, 2029.
Which side is the smart money on?
88% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 21 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 20, 2029. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.