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Who's betting on “Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?”?

Politics$114K traded355 holdersEnds January 20, 2029Updated October 29, 2026
78%Yes🧠 smart money
23%No

Smart money leans Yes: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 21 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$114K
traded all time
Held now
$41K
by 355 wallets
Smart share · Yes
88%
152 scored holders
Smart share · No
67%
203 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 78¢ and No at 23¢, a 78% implied chance of Yes. $114K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 20, 2029.

The smart money

88% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 21 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.

Who holds it

355 wallets hold a position worth $41K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 355 of them. The largest Yes holder is pede, with $12K on it, $840 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is PascalPro, with $1.5K on it, $2.7K lifetime profit over 85 markets (64% won).

Yes78%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share88%
7 days ago 88%a day ago 87%now 88%
Holders
152
Money on it
$32K
Holders' win rate
57%
No23%
Smart money share67%
7 days ago 64%a day ago 66%now 67%
Holders
203
Money on it
$9.2K
Holders' win rate
60%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$32K on it

  1. 1pede100% won of 1$12K+$840 lifetime
  2. 2LlamaLoco000045% won of 299 · noise$9.5K+$325K lifetime
  3. 3cezarn13288% won of 200$1.7K−$16K lifetime
  4. 4crackenthusiast60% won of 204 · whale$1.1K+$13K lifetime
  5. 50xF80E74bC34e0C1BE6D4352D6eDEBB710E6602af8-172011916701364% won of 128 · balanced$720+$4.6K lifetime

No$9.2K on it

  1. 1PascalPro64% won of 85 · balanced$1.5K+$2.7K lifetime
  2. 20x714a14eCeb9E9be14C0cf6Fc4D3b61c0E5CD4a1B-177616250052560% won of 42 · balanced$936+$105 lifetime
  3. 3Gohst47% won of 1,056 · whale$798+$298K lifetime
  4. 4itachi0x80% won of 241$558−$794 lifetime
  5. 5ran73% won of 48 · balanced$495+$14K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?"?

355 wallets hold a position worth $41K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 355 of them. The largest Yes holder is pede, with $12K on it, $840 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is PascalPro, with $1.5K on it, $2.7K lifetime profit over 85 markets (64% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 78¢ and No at 23¢, a 78% implied chance of Yes. $114K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 20, 2029.

Which side is the smart money on?

88% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 21 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 20, 2029. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.