Who's betting on “Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 85% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 41 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.2K by 49 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 85% 25 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 44% 24 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 36¢ and No at 64¢, a 64% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
85% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 32 points.
Who holds it
49 wallets hold a position worth $1.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is jikolep, with $363 on it, $4.2K lifetime profit over 5 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is shiifoo, with $116 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 4,744 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $799
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $365
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$799 on it
- 1jikolep40% won of 5$363+$4.2K lifetime
- 2EsperanzasDESTROYER75% won of 204 · balanced$121+$38K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,322 · noise$100+$254K lifetime
- 4DontCryMontreal32% won of 359$71−$766 lifetime
- 5estoicc58% won of 340 · balanced$56+$8.7K lifetime
No$365 on it
- 1shiifoo53% won of 4,744 · whale$116+$46K lifetime
- 2leadernew43% won of 7,493$52−$7.2K lifetime
- 3gaaaydoggggg64% won of 4,276$32−$4.1K lifetime
- 4kvillegas94% won of 86 · grinder$31+$101 lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 49,310$29−$51K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?"?
49 wallets hold a position worth $1.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is jikolep, with $363 on it, $4.2K lifetime profit over 5 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is shiifoo, with $116 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 4,744 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 36¢ and No at 64¢, a 64% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
85% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 32 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.