Who's betting on “Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 73 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.0K by 44 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 86% 24 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 13% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 20¢ and No at 80¢, an 80% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
86% of the money on Yes and 13% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 73 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 70 points.
Who holds it
44 wallets hold a position worth $4.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $236 on it, $129K lifetime profit over 9,933 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is spacegliderr, with $2.1K on it, $78K lifetime loss over 224 markets (29% won).
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $983
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $3.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 37%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$983 on it
- 10x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$236+$129K lifetime
- 2sweetj64% won of 487 · whale$174+$11K lifetime
- 3oneoftheppl58% won of 855 · whale$110+$13K lifetime
- 4shiifoo53% won of 4,744 · whale$92+$46K lifetime
- 5wallet-account-test68% won of 214 · balanced$89+$4.2K lifetime
No$3.1K on it
- 1spacegliderr29% won of 224$2.1K−$78K lifetime
- 2DontCryMontreal32% won of 359$204−$766 lifetime
- 3Fluo64% won of 513$160−$5.9K lifetime
- 4EsperanzasDESTROYER75% won of 204 · balanced$145+$38K lifetime
- 5fabriksopor16% won of 391$136−$1.4K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more?"?
44 wallets hold a position worth $4.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $236 on it, $129K lifetime profit over 9,933 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is spacegliderr, with $2.1K on it, $78K lifetime loss over 224 markets (29% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 20¢ and No at 80¢, an 80% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 13% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 73 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 70 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.