Who's betting on “Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 80% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 25 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $956 by 39 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 20 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 55% 19 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 48¢ and No at 53¢, a 53% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 38 points.
Who holds it
39 wallets hold a position worth $956 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is jikolep, with $297 on it, $4.2K lifetime profit over 5 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $65 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,272 markets (40% won).
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $731
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $225
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$731 on it
- 1jikolep40% won of 5$297+$4.2K lifetime
- 2EsperanzasDESTROYER75% won of 204 · balanced$208+$38K lifetime
- 3vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$57+$170K lifetime
- 4HyphenFrox46% won of 291$46−$3.0K lifetime
- 5Majas29% won of 25,253$34−$25K lifetime
No$225 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$65+$254K lifetime
- 2leadernew43% won of 7,493$42−$7.2K lifetime
- 3pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$21−$320K lifetime
- 4clarkantonio100% won of 80$17+$19 lifetime
- 51x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb940% won of 209,029 · noise$16+$6.7K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?"?
39 wallets hold a position worth $956 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is jikolep, with $297 on it, $4.2K lifetime profit over 5 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $65 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,272 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 48¢ and No at 53¢, a 53% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 38 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.