Who's betting on “Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?”?
Smart money leans No: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 69 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.8K by 58 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 14% 28 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 82% 30 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 57¢ and No at 43¢, a 57% implied chance of Yes. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
14% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 69 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 66 points. A week ago, No by 67 points.
Who holds it
58 wallets hold a position worth $4.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $2.7K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is shiifoo, with $714 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 4,734 markets (52% won).
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $3.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.3K on it
- 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$2.7K−$4.7M lifetime
- 2EsperanzasDESTROYER75% won of 204 · balanced$370+$38K lifetime
- 3DontCryMontreal32% won of 359$108−$766 lifetime
- 40x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427161% won of 6,265 · whale$41+$64K lifetime
- 5rocky4202552% won of 1,067 · whale$20+$298 lifetime
No$1.5K on it
- 1shiifoo52% won of 4,734 · whale$714+$46K lifetime
- 2wallet-account-test68% won of 214 · balanced$219+$4.2K lifetime
- 3mantou1145% won of 322 · noise$218+$38K lifetime
- 4bonalddrunk60% won of 378$85−$13K lifetime
- 5pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$39−$320K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?"?
58 wallets hold a position worth $4.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $2.7K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is shiifoo, with $714 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 4,734 markets (52% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 57¢ and No at 43¢, a 57% implied chance of Yes. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
14% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 69 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 66 points. A week ago, No by 67 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.