Who's betting on “Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $70K traded all time
- Held now
- $17K by 176 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 73% 74 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 102 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $70K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
73% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 21 points. A week ago, No by 22 points.
Who holds it
176 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 176 of them. The largest Yes holder is MissWonderfun, with $143 on it, $9.8K lifetime profit over 41 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is elmcap2, with $13K on it, $2.1M lifetime profit over 1,097 markets (86% won).
- Holders
- 74
- Money on it
- $485
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 102
- Money on it
- $17K
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$485 on it
- 1MissWonderfun61% won of 41 · whale$143+$9.8K lifetime
- 2oliman264% won of 1,228 · whale$108+$106K lifetime
- 3cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$28+$72K lifetime
- 40xF7790AafC0EeF13E5dEAd78f565C8688E681d36f-176139834310650% won of 200$23−$1.5K lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,970 · noise$19+$28K lifetime
No$17K on it
- 1elmcap286% won of 1,097 · whale$13K+$2.1M lifetime
- 2AngryRhino78% won of 227 · whale$972+$25K lifetime
- 395074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b0492% won of 1,009 · whale$341+$146K lifetime
- 40xDafd27c48807E5f5A576BD8a3854342C47A65FFb-175812516241386% won of 303 · grinder$304+$7.5K lifetime
- 5WeJustBettin87% won of 230$267−$1.4K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?"?
176 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 176 of them. The largest Yes holder is MissWonderfun, with $143 on it, $9.8K lifetime profit over 41 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is elmcap2, with $13K on it, $2.1M lifetime profit over 1,097 markets (86% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $70K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 21 points. A week ago, No by 22 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.