Who's betting on “Will Tim Elliott be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?”?

Sports · $306K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $306K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

62% of the money on Yes and 25% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 37 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.

46 wallets hold a position worth $4 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is 69dsfs, with $0 on it, $159 lifetime loss over 244 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is Rocamado, with $1 on it, $122 lifetime loss over 357 markets (99% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
62%
Holders
40
Money on it
$2
Holders' winrate
43%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
25%
Holders
6
Money on it
$2
Holders' winrate
64%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
69dsfs$0-$15938% of 244
labistiiianoise$0+$18130% of 633
2kparabellum$0-$10491% of 148
Lucerysnoise$0+$281K40% of 106,992
graynotebook19noise$0+$68K26% of 19,712
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Rocamado$1-$12299% of 357
0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354noise$1+$73K8% of 27,373
Wambui$0-$1.7K43% of 212
neutralwave23$0-$2.9M72% of 27,056
0x1E82E3Eb816aAf755AC9b44BC9d98F01b08AAF92-1772042958755whale$0+$40K52% of 330
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Tim Elliott be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?

46 wallets hold a position worth $4 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is 69dsfs, with $0 on it, $159 lifetime loss over 244 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is Rocamado, with $1 on it, $122 lifetime loss over 357 markets (99% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Tim Elliott be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $306K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

62% of the money on Yes and 25% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 37 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Tim Elliott be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo