Who's betting on “Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $99K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.3K by 106 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 83% 69 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 82% 36 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $99K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
83% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
106 wallets hold a position worth $5.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 105 of them. The largest Yes holder is nicoco89, with $3.5K on it, $121K lifetime profit over 1,030 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is Perypery, with $58 on it, $44K lifetime profit over 473 markets (30% won).
- Holders
- 70
- Money on it
- $5.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $139
- Holders' win rate
- 42%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.1K on it
- 1nicoco8965% won of 1,030 · whale$3.5K+$121K lifetime
- 2rondon8949% won of 205$695−$474 lifetime
- 3Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,136 · whale$408+$560 lifetime
- 4Boxzilla61% won of 23 · balanced$109+$135 lifetime
- 5jennylulu201617% won of 208 · noise$59+$496 lifetime
No$139 on it
- 1Perypery30% won of 473 · noise$58+$44K lifetime
- 2rocky4201952% won of 863 · whale$20+$19K lifetime
- 3RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$15+$819K lifetime
- 4itsjustcheddar59% won of 595 · whale$8+$8.6K lifetime
- 52B9S27% won of 14,480 · noise$7+$97K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?"?
106 wallets hold a position worth $5.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 105 of them. The largest Yes holder is nicoco89, with $3.5K on it, $121K lifetime profit over 1,030 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is Perypery, with $58 on it, $44K lifetime profit over 473 markets (30% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $99K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.