Who's betting on “Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 48% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 23 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $415 by 48 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 25% 40 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 48% 8 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
The smart money
25% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 17 points.
Who holds it
48 wallets hold a position worth $415 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is PMMMR, with $75 on it, $15K lifetime loss over 237 markets (96% won). The largest No holder is BeefSlayer, with $97 on it, $87K lifetime profit over 695 markets (28% won).
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $213
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
- Holders
- 8
- Money on it
- $202
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$213 on it
- 1PMMMR96% won of 237$75−$15K lifetime
- 2Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$15−$485K lifetime
- 30x3a9d…f33284% won of 95$13−$773 lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$12+$255K lifetime
- 5planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$10+$132K lifetime
No$202 on it
- 1BeefSlayer28% won of 695 · noise$97+$87K lifetime
- 2ChoiceMeteor252094% won of 2,625$75−$8.1K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,197$29−$49K lifetime
- 40xb2e42D29690B7B63335a03C0Fd5E64Df0681B7f1-17788119872518% won of 31,027 · noise$0+$46K lifetime
- 5a553345% won of 284,254$0−$11K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
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- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?"?
48 wallets hold a position worth $415 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is PMMMR, with $75 on it, $15K lifetime loss over 237 markets (96% won). The largest No holder is BeefSlayer, with $97 on it, $87K lifetime profit over 695 markets (28% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
25% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.