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Who's betting on “Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?”?

Politics$11K traded49 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
3%Yes🧠 smart money
97%No

Smart money leans Yes: 78% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 12 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$11K
traded all time
Held now
$6.8K
by 49 wallets
Smart share · Yes
78%
36 scored holders
Smart share · No
66%
13 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

78% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 13 points.

Who holds it

49 wallets hold a position worth $6.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x48Ea11be735A4BA117481Af42F3dEF457BF1287A-1781185464432, with $88 on it, $2.4K lifetime profit over 5 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is thebetter1234, with $2.0K on it, $6.4K lifetime profit over 97 markets (67% won).

Yes3%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share78% ▲ 1 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 76%a day ago 77%now 78%
Holders
36
Money on it
$213
Holders' win rate
67%
No97%
Smart money share66% ▲ 2 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 63%a day ago 64%now 66%
Holders
13
Money on it
$6.5K
Holders' win rate
78%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$213 on it

  1. 10x48Ea11be735A4BA117481Af42F3dEF457BF1287A-178118546443280% won of 5$88+$2.4K lifetime
  2. 2KTKK74% won of 202 · whale$36+$5.4K lifetime
  3. 3outcomes42% won of 234 · noise$17+$15K lifetime
  4. 4Ruxpin8461% won of 112$16−$1.3K lifetime
  5. 5HenrySymoneidis60% won of 206 · balanced$14+$194 lifetime

No$6.5K on it

  1. 1thebetter123467% won of 97 · balanced$2.0K+$6.4K lifetime
  2. 2MaxPowell71% won of 49$2.0K−$13K lifetime
  3. 364MGX75VLQ98% won of 267 · grinder$1.5K+$7.8K lifetime
  4. 4Epic42486% won of 51 · balanced$648+$1.4K lifetime
  5. 548MGX75VLQ77% won of 202$233−$745 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?"?

49 wallets hold a position worth $6.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x48Ea11be735A4BA117481Af42F3dEF457BF1287A-1781185464432, with $88 on it, $2.4K lifetime profit over 5 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is thebetter1234, with $2.0K on it, $6.4K lifetime profit over 97 markets (67% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

78% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 13 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.