Who's betting on “UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 11 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $286K traded all time
- Held now
- $40K by 167 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 81% 82 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 91% 85 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $286K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
81% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 11 points. A week ago, No by 11 points.
Who holds it
167 wallets hold a position worth $40K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 167 of them. The largest Yes holder is GollumGekko, with $1.2K on it, $290K lifetime profit over 1,183 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is pollybond, with $12K on it, $7.5K lifetime profit over 16 markets (100% won).
- Holders
- 82
- Money on it
- $3.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 85
- Money on it
- $36K
- Holders' win rate
- 76%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.8K on it
- 1GollumGekko73% won of 1,183 · whale$1.2K+$290K lifetime
- 2paddaa58% won of 1,507 · whale$1.0K+$288K lifetime
- 30xcCa90A5D3C8F2d6663817E3650D6aDbe9aB44C9f-177239596651668% won of 193$271−$1.8K lifetime
- 4wienerdog56% won of 329 · whale$226+$21K lifetime
- 5DonPanic70% won of 229 · whale$155+$14K lifetime
No$36K on it
- 1pollybond100% won of 16$12K+$7.5K lifetime
- 2sabsabinxz70% won of 99 · whale$5.5K+$84K lifetime
- 3ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$5.2K+$313K lifetime
- 4MEPP62% won of 1,084 · whale$3.5K+$559K lifetime
- 5anoin12359% won of 1,608$2.6K−$4.7M lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?"?
167 wallets hold a position worth $40K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 167 of them. The largest Yes holder is GollumGekko, with $1.2K on it, $290K lifetime profit over 1,183 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is pollybond, with $12K on it, $7.5K lifetime profit over 16 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $286K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 11 points. A week ago, No by 11 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.