Who's betting on “Will the United Arab Emirates join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 63 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $21K traded all time
- Held now
- $473 by 22 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 32% 15 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 7 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
32% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 63 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 63 points. A week ago, No by 63 points.
Who holds it
22 wallets hold a position worth $473 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 22 of them. The largest Yes holder is Haradwaith, with $2 on it, $378K lifetime loss over 54,248 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is randomWalkingShrimp, with $357 on it, $39K lifetime profit over 231 markets (89% won).
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $9
- Holders' win rate
- 41%
- Holders
- 7
- Money on it
- $464
- Holders' win rate
- 88%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$9 on it
- 1Haradwaith50% won of 54,248$2−$378K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$1+$254K lifetime
- 3Numitus199449% won of 15,786$1−$28K lifetime
- 4lolzzzlol19% won of 45,352$1−$99K lifetime
- 52B9S27% won of 14,516 · noise$1+$97K lifetime
No$464 on it
- 1randomWalkingShrimp89% won of 231 · whale$357+$39K lifetime
- 2PadreMaronno83% won of 230 · balanced$69+$14K lifetime
- 3rsg4288% won of 16$20−$30 lifetime
- 40xecf9…328a93% won of 381$11+$4.8K lifetime
- 5big-bird162% won of 8,258 · balanced$5+$3.6K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the United Arab Emirates join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?"?
22 wallets hold a position worth $473 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 22 of them. The largest Yes holder is Haradwaith, with $2 on it, $378K lifetime loss over 54,248 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is randomWalkingShrimp, with $357 on it, $39K lifetime profit over 231 markets (89% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the United Arab Emirates join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
32% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 63 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 63 points. A week ago, No by 63 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.