Who's betting on “Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 24 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $83K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.5K by 126 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 90% 62 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 66% 63 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $83K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
90% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 23 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.
Who holds it
126 wallets hold a position worth $4.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 125 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $124 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is 0xdc3E831cad, with $1.3K on it, $91K lifetime profit over 1,081 markets (55% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on No.
- Holders
- 63
- Money on it
- $370
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 63
- Money on it
- $4.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$370 on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$124+$203K lifetime
- 2iHaveBeenPwned80% won of 5$86+$2.3K lifetime
- 30x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427161% won of 6,265 · whale$56+$64K lifetime
- 4nellojello54% won of 225 · balanced$12+$12K lifetime
- 5StarMaster54% won of 944 · whale$11+$98K lifetime
No$4.2K on it
- 10xdc3E831cad55% won of 1,081 · whale$1.3K+$91K lifetime
- 2donthackme29% won of 86,863 · noise$721+$828K lifetime
- 3tradetosurvive145% won of 25,230$433−$217K lifetime
- 412398745644% won of 2,418 · whale$312+$51K lifetime
- 50x6c16866C6f5D56D02ebEaE3dB0fcCa81Ad76BaC6-172606712731562% won of 208$252−$713 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?
2 more- No return before November 1, 2026$75K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- September 15 - 30, 2026$19K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?"?
126 wallets hold a position worth $4.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 125 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $124 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is 0xdc3E831cad, with $1.3K on it, $91K lifetime profit over 1,081 markets (55% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $83K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
90% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 23 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.