Who's betting on “Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 72% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 68 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.1K by 61 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 72% 35 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 4% 26 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 4, 2026.
The smart money
72% of the money on Yes and 4% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 68 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 68 points.
Who holds it
61 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 61 of them. The largest Yes holder is grinder1011, with $80 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 519 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is 0xbb930e4Bde6Ea07Ed2A996088aFcd0a3602e7383-1748467195257, with $959 on it, $655 lifetime loss over 2 markets (0% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $33 on Yes.
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $405
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Snipers
- 1 · $33
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $1.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$405 on it
- 1grinder101147% won of 519 · whale$80+$11K lifetime
- 2sleepylemur40% won of 5$55−$177 lifetime
- 3Nadmi35% won of 1,251 · noise$54+$154K lifetime
- 4anonymoususer1073% won of 74 · balanced$53+$166 lifetime
- 50x6fa7…907e87% won of 870 · sniper$33+$41K lifetime
No$1.7K on it
- 10xbb930e4Bde6Ea07Ed2A996088aFcd0a3602e7383-17484671952570% won of 2$959−$655 lifetime
- 2BornAgain2680% won of 226$452−$5.1K lifetime
- 3tradetosurvive145% won of 25,344$162−$217K lifetime
- 4Majas29% won of 25,157$48−$24K lifetime
- 5lissartter56% won of 2,997$17−$287K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$954K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?"?
61 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 61 of them. The largest Yes holder is grinder1011, with $80 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 519 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is 0xbb930e4Bde6Ea07Ed2A996088aFcd0a3602e7383-1748467195257, with $959 on it, $655 lifetime loss over 2 markets (0% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 4% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 68 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 68 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.