Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 78% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $59K traded all time
- Held now
- $25K by 129 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 78% 81 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 69% 46 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $59K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
78% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 28 points. A week ago, Yes by 36 points.
Who holds it
129 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 127 of them. The largest Yes holder is Valen9, with $6.1K on it, $231K lifetime profit over 900 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is grinder1011, with $300 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 519 markets (47% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.6K on Yes.
- Holders
- 83
- Money on it
- $24K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 1 · $1.6K
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $639
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$24K on it
- 1Valen962% won of 900 · whale$6.1K+$231K lifetime
- 2QMG-CORE73% won of 1,224 · whale$3.3K+$57K lifetime
- 30xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-178604115318879% won of 125$2.9K−$137 lifetime
- 4zzzx281% won of 949 · whale$2.0K+$20K lifetime
- 5TheFOMCGambler74% won of 184 · sniper$1.6K+$20K lifetime
No$639 on it
- 1grinder101147% won of 519 · whale$300+$11K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,151$172−$48K lifetime
- 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$50+$127K lifetime
- 4overfatting53% won of 68 · balanced$22+$768 lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$18+$255K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?"?
129 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 127 of them. The largest Yes holder is Valen9, with $6.1K on it, $231K lifetime profit over 900 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is grinder1011, with $300 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 519 markets (47% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $59K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
78% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 28 points. A week ago, Yes by 36 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.