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Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?”?

Politics$40K traded84 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
94%Yes
6%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 36% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 25 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$40K
traded all time
Held now
$22K
by 84 wallets
Smart share · Yes
11%
38 scored holders
Smart share · No
36%
46 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 6¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $40K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

11% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 58 points.

Who holds it

84 wallets hold a position worth $22K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 84 of them. The largest Yes holder is DOF2, with $18K on it, $1.6K lifetime loss over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $260 on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,066 markets (46% won).

Yes94%
Smart money share11% ▼ 3 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 95%a day ago 15%now 11%
Holders
38
Money on it
$21K
Holders' win rate
73%
No6%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share36% ▲ 18 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 37%a day ago 19%now 36%
Holders
46
Money on it
$658
Holders' win rate
49%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$21K on it

  1. 1DOF2100% won of 2$18K−$1.6K lifetime
  2. 2zzzx281% won of 946 · whale$831+$20K lifetime
  3. 3AngryRhino78% won of 227 · whale$625+$25K lifetime
  4. 4QMG-CORE73% won of 1,224 · whale$506+$57K lifetime
  5. 5GamGanapati78% won of 304 · balanced$234+$6.8K lifetime

No$658 on it

  1. 1cigarettes46% won of 49,066$260−$49K lifetime
  2. 20x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-177584290310767% won of 1,989 · whale$88+$101K lifetime
  3. 3probability31% won of 3,325 · noise$84+$118K lifetime
  4. 4macrosteaks64% won of 2,609$41−$7.8K lifetime
  5. 5resfeber42% won of 1,580$35−$9.7K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?"?

84 wallets hold a position worth $22K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 84 of them. The largest Yes holder is DOF2, with $18K on it, $1.6K lifetime loss over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $260 on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,066 markets (46% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 6¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $40K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

11% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 58 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.