Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 14 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $21K traded all time
- Held now
- $10K by 73 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 48 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 25 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago, No by 14 points.
Who holds it
73 wallets hold a position worth $10K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is AngryRhino, with $4.8K on it, $25K lifetime profit over 227 markets (78% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $153 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $500 on Yes.
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $9.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 76%
- Snipers
- 1 · $500
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $180
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$9.8K on it
- 1AngryRhino78% won of 227 · whale$4.8K+$25K lifetime
- 2WeJustBettin87% won of 230$1.3K−$1.4K lifetime
- 3ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$530+$2.3M lifetime
- 4TheFOMCGambler74% won of 184 · sniper$500+$20K lifetime
- 5bernardbulletin75% won of 1,126 · whale$491+$198K lifetime
No$180 on it
- 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$153+$48K lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$7+$129K lifetime
- 3lissartter56% won of 2,997$3−$287K lifetime
- 40x5ACa8Fc1818E1D427F3361F4c65323Edec0E5627-1777530740576no record yet$3−$116 lifetime
- 5akunai45% won of 414 · whale$2+$2.3K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?"?
73 wallets hold a position worth $10K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is AngryRhino, with $4.8K on it, $25K lifetime profit over 227 markets (78% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $153 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago, No by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.