Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 41% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 20 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $75K traded all time
- Held now
- $39K by 130 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 21% 69 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 41% 61 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 90¢ and No at 11¢, a 90% implied chance of Yes. $75K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
21% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 30 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.
Who holds it
130 wallets hold a position worth $39K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 130 of them. The largest Yes holder is OATH1989, with $20K on it, $1.3K lifetime loss over 96 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is alpheclabs, with $745 on it, $979K lifetime loss over 15,280 markets (50% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $176 on Yes.
- Holders
- 69
- Money on it
- $37K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 1 · $176
- Holders
- 61
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$37K on it
- 1OATH198960% won of 96$20K−$1.3K lifetime
- 2FLash7-13484% won of 105$7.8K−$17K lifetime
- 3ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$2.5K+$313K lifetime
- 4ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$1.7K+$2.3M lifetime
- 5AnonymousUsername70% won of 5,795 · whale$1.0K+$394K lifetime
No$2.0K on it
- 1alpheclabs50% won of 15,280$745−$979K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 48,950$177−$50K lifetime
- 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$151+$127K lifetime
- 40x72727f158295dCA92Da2e71F406399D1CB351A25-178321570281249% won of 53$110−$130 lifetime
- 50x9dd9…08bd16% won of 740 · noise$104+$36K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?"?
130 wallets hold a position worth $39K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 130 of them. The largest Yes holder is OATH1989, with $20K on it, $1.3K lifetime loss over 96 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is alpheclabs, with $745 on it, $979K lifetime loss over 15,280 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 90¢ and No at 11¢, a 90% implied chance of Yes. $75K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
21% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 30 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.