Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?”?

Politics$43K traded107 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
3%Yes
97%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 42 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$43K
traded all time
Held now
$6.0K
by 107 wallets
Smart share · Yes
41%
60 scored holders
Smart share · No
84%
47 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

41% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 38 points. A week ago, No by 43 points.

Who holds it

107 wallets hold a position worth $6.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 107 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $150 on it, $431K lifetime loss over 12,103 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is elmcap2, with $1.6K on it, $2.1M lifetime profit over 1,097 markets (86% won).

Yes3%
Smart money share41% ▼ 6 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 52%a day ago 47%now 41%
Holders
60
Money on it
$559
Holders' win rate
51%
No97%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share84% ▼ 2 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 95%a day ago 85%now 84%
Holders
47
Money on it
$5.5K
Holders' win rate
67%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$559 on it

  1. 1Gaditima49% won of 12,103$150−$431K lifetime
  2. 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$91+$127K lifetime
  3. 3anoin12359% won of 1,608$56−$4.7M lifetime
  4. 4cigarettes46% won of 49,066$48−$49K lifetime
  5. 5Pbankster68% won of 47 · balanced$46+$2.6K lifetime

No$5.5K on it

  1. 1elmcap286% won of 1,097 · whale$1.6K+$2.1M lifetime
  2. 2Lexington25% won of 1,086 · noise$994+$50K lifetime
  3. 3QMG-CORE73% won of 1,224 · whale$971+$57K lifetime
  4. 4Glome83% won of 326$348−$913 lifetime
  5. 50xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-178604115318879% won of 125$329−$137 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

More markets in New Mexico Governor Election Winner

1 more
Who's betting on New Mexico Governor Election Winner →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?"?

107 wallets hold a position worth $6.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 107 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $150 on it, $431K lifetime loss over 12,103 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is elmcap2, with $1.6K on it, $2.1M lifetime profit over 1,097 markets (86% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

41% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 38 points. A week ago, No by 43 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.