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Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?”?

Politics$54K traded109 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
4%Yes
97%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 69% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 40 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$54K
traded all time
Held now
$3.4K
by 109 wallets
Smart share · Yes
28%
53 scored holders
Smart share · No
69%
55 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $54K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

28% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 33 points. A week ago, No by 37 points.

Who holds it

109 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 108 of them. The largest Yes holder is GUINESS123, with $163 on it, $59K lifetime loss over 547 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $482 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).

Yes4%
Smart money share28%
7 days ago 29%a day ago 28%now 28%
Holders
54
Money on it
$626
Holders' win rate
51%
No97%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share69% ▲ 7 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 66%a day ago 61%now 69%
Holders
55
Money on it
$2.8K
Holders' win rate
70%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$626 on it

  1. 1GUINESS12370% won of 547$163−$59K lifetime
  2. 20xa0f2…184842% won of 2,590$127−$3.5M lifetime
  3. 3mitcher9940% won of 20 · noise$68+$1.9K lifetime
  4. 4MsRachel14% won of 21$67−$3.5K lifetime
  5. 5cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$32+$72K lifetime

No$2.8K on it

  1. 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$482+$48K lifetime
  2. 2trerira85% won of 186 · balanced$289+$5.4K lifetime
  3. 3Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,136 · whale$209+$560 lifetime
  4. 4MasonsConqueredRome86% won of 209$193−$86K lifetime
  5. 5Skybark78% won of 143$193−$189 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?"?

109 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 108 of them. The largest Yes holder is GUINESS123, with $163 on it, $59K lifetime loss over 547 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $482 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $54K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

28% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 33 points. A week ago, No by 37 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.