Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 79% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 35 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $30K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.4K by 77 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 79% 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 45% 40 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
79% of the money on Yes and 45% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 35 points. A week ago, Yes by 49 points.
Who holds it
77 wallets hold a position worth $6.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 77 of them. The largest Yes holder is ImJustKen, with $3.0K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is Digital-Boy, with $18 on it, $78K lifetime loss over 2,232 markets (16% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $926 on Yes.
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $6.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
- Snipers
- 1 · $926
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $113
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$6.2K on it
- 1ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$3.0K+$2.3M lifetime
- 2TheFOMCGambler74% won of 184 · sniper$926+$20K lifetime
- 30xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-178604115318879% won of 125$897−$137 lifetime
- 4FOW66% won of 101 · balanced$577+$1.4K lifetime
- 5JishWa77% won of 228$222−$68K lifetime
No$113 on it
- 1Digital-Boy16% won of 2,232$18−$78K lifetime
- 2macrosteaks64% won of 2,637$14−$8.2K lifetime
- 3planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$8+$132K lifetime
- 40x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-177584290310767% won of 1,998 · whale$7+$101K lifetime
- 5zzzx281% won of 949 · whale$7+$20K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?"?
77 wallets hold a position worth $6.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 77 of them. The largest Yes holder is ImJustKen, with $3.0K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is Digital-Boy, with $18 on it, $78K lifetime loss over 2,232 markets (16% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
79% of the money on Yes and 45% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 35 points. A week ago, Yes by 49 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.