Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 73% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 30 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.4K by 65 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 43% 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 73% 29 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 45¢ and No at 56¢, a 56% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
43% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 46 points.
Who holds it
65 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is bonalddrunk, with $354 on it, $13K lifetime loss over 378 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed, with $385 on it, $163K lifetime profit over 15,906 markets (56% won).
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $1.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.4K on it
- 1bonalddrunk60% won of 378$354−$13K lifetime
- 2falaffel3100% won of 3$319−$2.6K lifetime
- 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$312+$127K lifetime
- 40x7272c0D9478Ef6447f48A20a7Db2839A61A4a67d-173522719331873% won of 112 · balanced$214+$20K lifetime
- 5DarkFish55% won of 646$106−$13K lifetime
No$1.0K on it
- 1Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,906 · whale$385+$163K lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$282+$203K lifetime
- 3K80PRO56% won of 901$162−$577 lifetime
- 4tradetosurvive145% won of 25,331$41−$217K lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 49,151$33−$48K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?"?
65 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is bonalddrunk, with $354 on it, $13K lifetime loss over 378 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed, with $385 on it, $163K lifetime profit over 15,906 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 45¢ and No at 56¢, a 56% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
43% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 46 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.