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Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?”?

Politics$14K traded59 holdersEnds November 3, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
87%Yes🧠 smart money
13%No

Smart money leans Yes: 79% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 45 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$14K
traded all time
Held now
$1.7K
by 59 wallets
Smart share · Yes
79%
17 scored holders
Smart share · No
34%
42 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 87¢ and No at 13¢, an 87% implied chance of Yes. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.

The smart money

79% of the money on Yes and 34% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 37 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.

Who holds it

59 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is GirlOnFire, with $612 on it, $1.1K lifetime profit over 198 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is ZhouCD, with $64 on it, $18K lifetime loss over 2,459 markets (49% won).

Yes87%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share79%
7 days ago 80%a day ago 79%now 79%
Holders
17
Money on it
$1.5K
Holders' win rate
61%
No13%
Smart money share34% ▼ 8 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 38%a day ago 42%now 34%
Holders
42
Money on it
$168
Holders' win rate
46%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$1.5K on it

  1. 1GirlOnFire70% won of 198 · balanced$612+$1.1K lifetime
  2. 2spaceloaf78% won of 315 · balanced$420+$1.0K lifetime
  3. 3Heskel219% won of 84$270−$35K lifetime
  4. 4SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,242 · whale$87+$203K lifetime
  5. 5ZZdddss33262% won of 82$39−$57 lifetime

No$168 on it

  1. 1ZhouCD49% won of 2,459$64−$18K lifetime
  2. 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$14+$254K lifetime
  3. 3fernanserrano37% won of 593$13−$1.3K lifetime
  4. 4fingizz40% won of 5$13−$7 lifetime
  5. 5Perypery30% won of 473 · noise$7+$44K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?"?

59 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is GirlOnFire, with $612 on it, $1.1K lifetime profit over 198 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is ZhouCD, with $64 on it, $18K lifetime loss over 2,459 markets (49% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 87¢ and No at 13¢, an 87% implied chance of Yes. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

79% of the money on Yes and 34% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 37 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.