Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $26K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.0K by 66 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 59% 38 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 91% 28 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 92¢ and No at 8¢, a 92% implied chance of Yes. $26K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
59% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
66 wallets hold a position worth $5.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them. The largest Yes holder is TrangNgo, with $1.3K on it, $22K lifetime profit over 211 markets (84% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $190 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $4.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $288
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.7K on it
- 1TrangNgo84% won of 211 · balanced$1.3K+$22K lifetime
- 20xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-178604115318879% won of 125$714−$137 lifetime
- 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$601+$127K lifetime
- 4Gamble.and.bankurpt62% won of 210$469−$25K lifetime
- 5Harvinchristophergalit50% won of 6$362−$3 lifetime
No$288 on it
- 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$190+$48K lifetime
- 2e46m347% won of 87,779 · whale$40+$964K lifetime
- 3BASSATS0152% won of 322 · whale$15+$1.8K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,296$9−$52K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$9+$255K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in WI-06 House Election Winner
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?"?
66 wallets hold a position worth $5.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them. The largest Yes holder is TrangNgo, with $1.3K on it, $22K lifetime profit over 211 markets (84% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $190 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 92¢ and No at 8¢, a 92% implied chance of Yes. $26K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
59% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.