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Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the WA-08 House seat?”?

Politics$14K traded26 holdersEnds November 5, 2026Updated November 2, 2026
2%Yes
98%No

Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.

Volume
$14K
traded all time
Held now
$426
by 26 wallets
Smart share · Yes
-
17 scored holders
Smart share · No
-
9 scored holders
📈 Open the live signal🔔 Alert me when smart money movesTrade on Polymarket ↗

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 5, 2026.

The smart money

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

Who holds it

26 wallets hold a position worth $426 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 26 of them. The largest Yes holder is thecaricature, with $4 on it, $7.9K lifetime loss over 785 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is 0x295542613a56F22F0B726B1D26DC4Eaf681e0738-1780903307589, with $303 on it, $1.5K lifetime loss over 256 markets (46% won).

Yes2%
Smart money share-
Holders
17
Money on it
$25
Holders' win rate
51%
No98%
Smart money share-
Holders
9
Money on it
$401
Holders' win rate
47%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$25 on it

  1. 1thecaricature45% won of 785$4−$7.9K lifetime
  2. 2planktonXD76% won of 7,128 · whale$4+$138K lifetime
  3. 30xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549525% won of 12,773 · noise$3+$341K lifetime
  4. 4Dr.PNL28% won of 19,750$3−$488K lifetime
  5. 5xtxpleasecallme39% won of 142,870 · noise$2+$271K lifetime

No$401 on it

  1. 10x295542613a56F22F0B726B1D26DC4Eaf681e0738-178090330758946% won of 256$303−$1.5K lifetime
  2. 20x9dd9…08bd16% won of 743 · noise$40+$36K lifetime
  3. 30xF4fE4AeeA49C54aA73Ec946ab2Eebd02eE42F6E7-175777636855699% won of 2,454$20−$1.6K lifetime
  4. 4SitsToPee53% won of 2,148 · whale$16+$48K lifetime
  5. 5bernardbulletin74% won of 1,150 · whale$10+$199K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the WA-08 House seat?"?

26 wallets hold a position worth $426 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 26 of them. The largest Yes holder is thecaricature, with $4 on it, $7.9K lifetime loss over 785 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is 0x295542613a56F22F0B726B1D26DC4Eaf681e0738-1780903307589, with $303 on it, $1.5K lifetime loss over 256 markets (46% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the WA-08 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 5, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 5, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.