Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the WA-07 House seat?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $23K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.4K by 23 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 92% 11 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 12 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
92% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
23 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 23 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $62 on it, $335K lifetime profit over 12,163 markets (23% won). The largest No holder is 123905, with $1.0K on it, $6.9K lifetime profit over 5 markets (100% won).
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $138
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 98%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$138 on it
- 10xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$62+$335K lifetime
- 2GayPride80% won of 674 · whale$43+$655K lifetime
- 3SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$10+$48K lifetime
- 4Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$10−$485K lifetime
- 5planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$6+$132K lifetime
No$1.2K on it
- 1123905100% won of 5$1.0K+$6.9K lifetime
- 2kak-slaven-nash-gospod-v-zione96% won of 76$52−$73 lifetime
- 3traet88% won of 17$50+$6 lifetime
- 4grassminefield100% won of 24$33+$15 lifetime
- 5EconProf83% won of 396 · balanced$30+$235 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in WA-07 House Election Winner
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the WA-07 House seat?"?
23 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 23 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $62 on it, $335K lifetime profit over 12,163 markets (23% won). The largest No holder is 123905, with $1.0K on it, $6.9K lifetime profit over 5 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the WA-07 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
92% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.