Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 38 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $36K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.6K by 67 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 92% 31 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 54% 35 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
92% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 38 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 38 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.
Who holds it
67 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them. The largest Yes holder is Ryxon21, with $192 on it, $133K lifetime profit over 609 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is wan123, with $938 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 289 markets (79% won).
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $814
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $2.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$814 on it
- 1Ryxon2181% won of 609 · whale$192+$133K lifetime
- 2BobbyBakedBeans41% won of 4,772 · noise$186+$25K lifetime
- 3D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$123+$85K lifetime
- 40x1cbd…69c8no record yet$115
- 5i2dt71% won of 356 · whale$58+$17K lifetime
No$2.8K on it
- 1wan12379% won of 289 · whale$938+$1.2M lifetime
- 2anoin12359% won of 1,608$357−$4.7M lifetime
- 3SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$354−$9.0K lifetime
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$216−$378K lifetime
- 50xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$204+$335K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in WA-03 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?"?
67 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them. The largest Yes holder is Ryxon21, with $192 on it, $133K lifetime profit over 609 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is wan123, with $938 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 289 markets (79% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
92% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 38 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 38 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.