Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the WA-01 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 51 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $22K traded all time
- Held now
- $530 by 26 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 49% 21 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 5 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
49% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 52 points. A week ago, No by 52 points.
Who holds it
26 wallets hold a position worth $530 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 26 of them. The largest Yes holder is HerrieDavis, with $41 on it, $325K lifetime profit over 2,687 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is 0x9dd9…08bd, with $218 on it, $36K lifetime profit over 740 markets (16% won).
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $179
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Holders
- 5
- Money on it
- $351
- Holders' win rate
- 34%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$179 on it
- 1HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$41+$325K lifetime
- 20x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-179243706475847% won of 827$40−$8.4K lifetime
- 3Digital-Boy16% won of 2,232$39−$78K lifetime
- 4planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$18+$132K lifetime
- 5PolyArbi42% won of 292 · noise$7+$92 lifetime
No$351 on it
- 10x9dd9…08bd16% won of 740 · noise$218+$36K lifetime
- 2carlosita84% won of 19$65+$7 lifetime
- 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$58+$129K lifetime
- 4bernardbulletin75% won of 1,126 · whale$10+$198K lifetime
- 515rob46% won of 252 · noise$0+$3.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in WA-01 House Election Winner
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the WA-01 House seat?"?
26 wallets hold a position worth $530 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 26 of them. The largest Yes holder is HerrieDavis, with $41 on it, $325K lifetime profit over 2,687 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is 0x9dd9…08bd, with $218 on it, $36K lifetime profit over 740 markets (16% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the WA-01 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
49% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 52 points. A week ago, No by 52 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.