Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the VA-11 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 30 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $136 by 26 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 70% 23 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 3 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
70% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 30 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.
Who holds it
26 wallets hold a position worth $136 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 26 of them. The largest Yes holder is LornaPredicts, with $8 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 15,917 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is 0x9dd9…08bd, with $90 on it, $36K lifetime profit over 740 markets (16% won).
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $46
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Holders
- 3
- Money on it
- $90
- Holders' win rate
- 16%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$46 on it
- 1LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$8+$28K lifetime
- 22kparabellum90% won of 154$7−$99 lifetime
- 3io-cane36% won of 212$5−$1.4K lifetime
- 4BASSATS0152% won of 322 · whale$5+$1.8K lifetime
- 5hadarhaddad49% won of 946 · balanced$3+$2.6K lifetime
No$90 on it
- 10x9dd9…08bd16% won of 740 · noise$90+$36K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$0−$378K lifetime
- 3e46m347% won of 87,879 · whale$0+$964K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in VA-11 House Election Winner
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the VA-11 House seat?"?
26 wallets hold a position worth $136 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 26 of them. The largest Yes holder is LornaPredicts, with $8 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 15,917 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is 0x9dd9…08bd, with $90 on it, $36K lifetime profit over 740 markets (16% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the VA-11 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
70% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 30 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.