Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the VA-08 House seat?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $29K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.5K by 28 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 68% 14 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 66% 14 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
68% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
28 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 28 of them. The largest Yes holder is GayPride, with $49 on it, $655K lifetime profit over 674 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $882 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $77
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $2.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$77 on it
- 1GayPride80% won of 674 · whale$49+$655K lifetime
- 2Digital-Boy16% won of 2,187$15−$78K lifetime
- 3Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$6−$485K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,235 · noise$3+$255K lifetime
- 5Oklmntrader13% won of 577$1−$173K lifetime
No$2.5K on it
- 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$882+$48K lifetime
- 20x295542613a56F22F0B726B1D26DC4Eaf681e0738-178090330758946% won of 248$770−$1.6K lifetime
- 3Ryxon2181% won of 609 · whale$324+$133K lifetime
- 4anciano49% won of 1,299 · whale$77+$37K lifetime
- 5borisanimal97% won of 32$61+$12 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in VA-08 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the VA-08 House seat?"?
28 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 28 of them. The largest Yes holder is GayPride, with $49 on it, $655K lifetime profit over 674 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $882 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the VA-08 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
68% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.