Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 73 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $139K traded all time
- Held now
- $48K by 169 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 18% 98 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 91% 71 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 58¢ and No at 42¢, a 58% implied chance of Yes. $139K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
18% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 73 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 73 points. A week ago, No by 85 points.
Who holds it
169 wallets hold a position worth $48K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 169 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $11K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is Chungvicular, with $7.2K on it, $35K lifetime profit over 201 markets (45% won).
Sharp money
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $487 on Yes.
- Holders
- 98
- Money on it
- $33K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Snipers
- 2 · $487
- Holders
- 71
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$33K on it
- 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$11K−$4.7M lifetime
- 2Gaditima49% won of 12,107$8.9K−$433K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,151$2.7K−$48K lifetime
- 4resfeber42% won of 1,607$1.2K−$10.0K lifetime
- 5JustADonk54% won of 865$959−$128K lifetime
No$15K on it
- 1Chungvicular45% won of 201 · noise$7.2K+$35K lifetime
- 2aenews273% won of 1,134 · whale$3.1K+$2.4M lifetime
- 30x7F883cD0a3259D1BC640C0E19A72a0f2D6c7f76e-179175406304655% won of 11$1.1K−$400 lifetime
- 4Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,906 · whale$776+$163K lifetime
- 50xc8b9…b83664% won of 552 · whale$704+$371K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in VA-05 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?"?
169 wallets hold a position worth $48K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 169 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $11K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is Chungvicular, with $7.2K on it, $35K lifetime profit over 201 markets (45% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 58¢ and No at 42¢, a 58% implied chance of Yes. $139K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
18% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 73 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 73 points. A week ago, No by 85 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.