Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the VA-03 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 83 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $47K traded all time
- Held now
- $957 by 24 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 9% 12 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 92% 12 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $47K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
9% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 83 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 88 points. A week ago, No by 83 points.
Who holds it
24 wallets hold a position worth $957 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 24 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dr.PNL, with $27 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,294 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is anciano, with $243 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,323 markets (49% won).
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $71
- Holders' win rate
- 27%
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $886
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$71 on it
- 1Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$27−$485K lifetime
- 2Digital-Boy16% won of 2,232$25−$78K lifetime
- 3ViscaElBarca1% won of 12,734$6−$65K lifetime
- 4thecaricature44% won of 717$6−$7.9K lifetime
- 5Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,136 · whale$4+$560 lifetime
No$886 on it
- 1anciano49% won of 1,323 · whale$243+$38K lifetime
- 2SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$190+$48K lifetime
- 3dcog42% won of 12$146+$23 lifetime
- 4DEGENKHAN74% won of 1,147 · whale$76+$104K lifetime
- 5CuckZnyder100% won of 32$52+$14 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in VA-03 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the VA-03 House seat?"?
24 wallets hold a position worth $957 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 24 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dr.PNL, with $27 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,294 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is anciano, with $243 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,323 markets (49% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the VA-03 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $47K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
9% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 83 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 88 points. A week ago, No by 83 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.