Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the TX-22 House seat?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.1K by 24 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 85% 11 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 85% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 6¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
85% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
24 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 24 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $1.4K on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is GayPride, with $55 on it, $652K lifetime profit over 672 markets (80% won).
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $93
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.0K on it
- 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$1.4K+$48K lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$342+$127K lifetime
- 3varch0168% won of 1,163$189−$45K lifetime
- 4crossx76% won of 173$57−$4.7K lifetime
- 5ABC1234565432148% won of 5,905$26−$1.2K lifetime
No$93 on it
- 1GayPride80% won of 672 · whale$55+$652K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,171 · noise$21+$254K lifetime
- 3GUINESS12370% won of 547$6−$59K lifetime
- 4Majas29% won of 24,993$3−$24K lifetime
- 5b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.98% won of 3,362 · whale$3+$22K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in TX-22 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the TX-22 House seat?"?
24 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 24 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $1.4K on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is GayPride, with $55 on it, $652K lifetime profit over 672 markets (80% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the TX-22 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 6¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
85% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.