Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 12 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $33K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.2K by 75 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 72% 44 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 84% 31 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 76¢ and No at 24¢, a 76% implied chance of Yes. $33K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
72% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 5 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.
Who holds it
75 wallets hold a position worth $5.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them. The largest Yes holder is TrangNgo, with $2.0K on it, $22K lifetime profit over 211 markets (84% won). The largest No holder is Contestable-Parfait, with $316 on it, $173K lifetime profit over 345 markets (61% won).
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $4.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $569
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.6K on it
- 1TrangNgo84% won of 211 · balanced$2.0K+$22K lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$924+$127K lifetime
- 3Haradwaith50% won of 53,882$673−$377K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,005$270−$50K lifetime
- 5GUINESS12370% won of 547$106−$59K lifetime
No$569 on it
- 1Contestable-Parfait61% won of 345 · whale$316+$173K lifetime
- 2mwenya51% won of 1,059 · whale$86+$114K lifetime
- 3SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,611$35−$8.9K lifetime
- 4ABC1234565432148% won of 5,905$27−$1.2K lifetime
- 5aaaamoon71% won of 14$22+$17 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in TX-09 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?"?
75 wallets hold a position worth $5.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them. The largest Yes holder is TrangNgo, with $2.0K on it, $22K lifetime profit over 211 markets (84% won). The largest No holder is Contestable-Parfait, with $316 on it, $173K lifetime profit over 345 markets (61% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 76¢ and No at 24¢, a 76% implied chance of Yes. $33K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 5 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.