Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 34 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $84K traded all time
- Held now
- $11K by 40 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 100% 15 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 66% 25 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $84K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
100% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago, Yes by 65 points.
Who holds it
40 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 40 of them. The largest Yes holder is thoodr, with $10K on it, $100K lifetime profit over 830 markets (96% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $18 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won).
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 95%
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $81
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$11K on it
- 1thoodr96% won of 830 · whale$10K+$100K lifetime
- 2SuperAngryBird48% won of 29$81+$159 lifetime
- 3pblack99982% won of 28 · balanced$56+$829 lifetime
- 4cocojamboujab96% won of 23$47+$16 lifetime
- 5Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,134 · whale$28+$570 lifetime
No$81 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$18+$255K lifetime
- 2donthackme29% won of 87,062 · noise$15+$829K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,296$8−$52K lifetime
- 4b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.98% won of 3,362 · whale$7+$22K lifetime
- 5GUINESS12370% won of 547$6−$59K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in TX-06 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?"?
40 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 40 of them. The largest Yes holder is thoodr, with $10K on it, $100K lifetime profit over 830 markets (96% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $18 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $84K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
100% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago, Yes by 65 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.