Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $35K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.3K by 64 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 58% 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 58% 27 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 81¢ and No at 20¢, an 81% implied chance of Yes. $35K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
58% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 10 points.
Who holds it
64 wallets hold a position worth $5.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 64 of them. The largest Yes holder is anciano, with $684 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 1,299 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is nufonehudis67, with $122 on it, $14K lifetime profit over 236 markets (54% won).
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $5.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $345
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.0K on it
- 1anciano49% won of 1,299 · whale$684+$37K lifetime
- 2cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$671+$72K lifetime
- 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$509+$127K lifetime
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$492−$377K lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 49,197$388−$49K lifetime
No$345 on it
- 1nufonehudis6754% won of 236 · whale$122+$14K lifetime
- 2PK12347% won of 250$98−$1.9K lifetime
- 3donthackme29% won of 86,904 · noise$39+$829K lifetime
- 4SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$32−$9.0K lifetime
- 5just-bettor44% won of 1,405 · balanced$15+$3.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in TN-09 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?"?
64 wallets hold a position worth $5.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 64 of them. The largest Yes holder is anciano, with $684 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 1,299 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is nufonehudis67, with $122 on it, $14K lifetime profit over 236 markets (54% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 81¢ and No at 20¢, an 81% implied chance of Yes. $35K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
58% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.