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Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the TN-06 House seat?”?

Politics$15K traded16 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
96%Yes🧠 smart money
5%No

Smart money leans Yes: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 19 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$15K
traded all time
Held now
$822
by 16 wallets
Smart share · Yes
98%
9 scored holders
Smart share · No
78%
7 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 5¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

98% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.

Who holds it

16 wallets hold a position worth $822 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 16 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $379 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $21 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,272 markets (40% won).

Yes96%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share98%
7 days ago 100%a day ago 98%now 98%
Holders
9
Money on it
$793
Holders' win rate
51%
No5%
Smart money share78%
7 days ago 85%a day ago 78%now 78%
Holders
7
Money on it
$29
Holders' win rate
40%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$793 on it

  1. 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$379+$48K lifetime
  2. 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$276+$129K lifetime
  3. 3khanoftruth35% won of 200 · noise$67+$8.6K lifetime
  4. 40x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-173049199943099% won of 129 · balanced$48+$12K lifetime
  5. 5lissartter56% won of 2,997$19−$287K lifetime

No$29 on it

  1. 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$21+$254K lifetime
  2. 2Bash.88% won of 25$3−$26 lifetime
  3. 3richyee18% won of 5,050$2−$19K lifetime
  4. 416r0ob20% won of 221 · noise$1+$1.7K lifetime
  5. 5Rain-Prob-015% won of 207$1−$312 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the TN-06 House seat?"?

16 wallets hold a position worth $822 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 16 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $379 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $21 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,272 markets (40% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the TN-06 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 5¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

98% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.